Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Ajaccio
31.8%
Draw
35.7%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Ajaccio
vs
0.91
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS33.5%
Over 0.583.6%
Over 1.551.8%
Over 2.525.9%
Over 3.510.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.4%
0-1
16.4%
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
2-2
2.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
3-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).