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26 Oct 2025 · 16:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.0%
Krasnodar
21.0%
Draw
9.9%
Rubin Kazan

Expected Goals (xG)

2.09

Krasnodar

vs
0.68

Rubin Kazan

Markets

BTTS44.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.6%
1-0
12.0%
1-1
10.0%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
3.4%
0-1
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).