Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
Sturm Graz
25.7%
Draw
32.6%
Salzburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Sturm Graz
vs
1.40
Salzburg
Markets
BTTS60.9%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
6.2%
0-0
5.7%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).