Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Reggina
32.5%
Draw
25.0%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Reggina
vs
0.85
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
14.4%
1-0
14.2%
0-1
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).