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HHT: 11CSV

27 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.0%
Bochum
18.7%
Draw
9.3%
Erzgebirge Aue

Expected Goals (xG)

2.28

Bochum

vs
0.72

Erzgebirge Aue

Markets

BTTS46.7%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.0%
1-0
10.6%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
4.0%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
0-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).