Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.7%
Sampdoria
15.2%
Draw
78.0%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51
Sampdoria
vs
2.30
Milan
Markets
BTTS35.7%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
16.0%
0-1
14.0%
0-3
12.2%
1-2
8.1%
0-4
7.0%
1-1
7.0%
1-3
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
1-4
3.6%
0-5
3.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).