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18 Oct 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.2%
Beerschot VA
27.2%
Draw
48.7%
Anderlecht

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Beerschot VA

vs
1.53

Anderlecht

Markets

BTTS50.3%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
8.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).