Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.2%
Leverkusen
22.9%
Draw
10.9%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Leverkusen
vs
0.61
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
14.6%
1-1
10.4%
0-0
9.4%
3-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).