Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Malaga
21.1%
Draw
17.1%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Malaga
vs
0.92
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.1%
2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.5%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).