Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Sturm Graz
25.5%
Draw
23.8%
WSG Tirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Sturm Graz
vs
1.12
WSG Tirol
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).