Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.0%
Cadiz
20.4%
Draw
70.6%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.54
Cadiz
vs
1.94
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS35.9%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.0%
0-2
15.8%
0-3
10.2%
1-1
9.1%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
1-3
5.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-0
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-1
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).