Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Alaves
34.5%
Draw
27.7%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Alaves
vs
0.73
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS30.6%
Over 0.580.5%
Over 1.548.3%
Over 2.522.4%
Over 3.58.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.5%
1-0
17.8%
0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
5.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
3-0
2.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
0-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).