Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.4%
Luton
27.2%
Draw
54.4%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Luton
vs
1.58
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
11.3%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.5%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).