Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.3%
St Pauli
24.2%
Draw
21.5%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
St Pauli
vs
1.14
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
3.6%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).