Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.2%
Harrogate
27.7%
Draw
36.1%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Harrogate
vs
1.12
Newport County
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
12.4%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
3-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).