Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.1%
Blackpool
19.7%
Draw
25.1%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Blackpool
vs
1.31
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS62.9%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
5.0%
3-2
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
0-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).