Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.2%
Newport County
24.0%
Draw
51.9%
Walsall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Newport County
vs
1.60
Walsall
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.4%
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-0
7.9%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).