Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.8%
Empoli
20.7%
Draw
67.5%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Empoli
vs
1.87
Milan
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
0-2
14.5%
1-1
9.5%
0-3
9.0%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.1%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
0-4
4.2%
2-1
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
1-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).