Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Peterboro
24.0%
Draw
46.7%
Derby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Peterboro
vs
1.47
Derby
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.4%
1-1
11.4%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
8.3%
2-1
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).