Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Caen
25.9%
Draw
35.0%
Nancy
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Caen
vs
1.13
Nancy
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).