Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Benevento
31.2%
Draw
30.3%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Benevento
vs
1.04
Livorno
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).