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22 Feb 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.6%
Cambridge
25.7%
Draw
47.7%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Cambridge

vs
1.34

Stockport

Markets

BTTS43.1%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.1%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).