Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.2%
Sociedad B
19.9%
Draw
14.9%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Sociedad B
vs
0.87
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).