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HHT: 00CSV

02 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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75.0%
Olympiakos
19.5%
Draw
5.5%
Panionios

Expected Goals (xG)

1.96

Olympiakos

vs
0.38

Panionios

Markets

BTTS27.8%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
18.5%
1-0
18.2%
3-0
12.1%
0-0
10.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
4-0
6.0%
3-1
4.6%
0-1
3.0%
5-0
2.3%
4-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).