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07 Apr 2023 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.9%
Rotherham
29.3%
Draw
46.8%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Rotherham

vs
1.38

West Brom

Markets

BTTS45.8%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-1
13.0%
0-0
11.0%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
2-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).