Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.3%
Spartans
27.2%
Draw
23.5%
Elgin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Spartans
vs
1.19
Elgin
Markets
BTTS59.8%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
4.8%
0-1
4.2%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).