Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.9%
Norwich
25.6%
Draw
18.5%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Norwich
vs
0.88
Luton
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
6.2%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).