⚽ FootballData
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DHT: 11CSV

14 Apr 2019

Getafe

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.4%
Valladolid
27.1%
Draw
57.6%
Getafe

Expected Goals (xG)

0.61

Valladolid

vs
1.46

Getafe

Markets

BTTS35.5%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.1%
0-2
13.4%
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.5%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
4.0%
2-1
3.5%
2-2
2.5%
0-4
2.4%
2-0
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).