Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.7%
Bari
33.9%
Draw
35.4%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Bari
vs
1.02
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.584.5%
Over 1.559.4%
Over 2.531.0%
Over 3.513.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.5%
1-1
14.8%
0-1
13.2%
1-0
11.9%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).