Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.6%
Sp Gijon
26.5%
Draw
21.9%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Sp Gijon
vs
0.84
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
10.7%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.6%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).