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vs

22 Apr 2026 · 18:45

Hull

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.7%
Leicester
24.7%
Draw
37.6%
Hull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.66

Leicester

vs
1.65

Hull

Markets

BTTS66.3%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
5.2%
0-1
5.2%
2-0
5.0%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
0-0
4.5%
3-2
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).