Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Cagliari
25.5%
Draw
42.2%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Cagliari
vs
1.44
Genoa
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).