Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.4%
Heidenheim
18.7%
Draw
70.9%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Heidenheim
vs
2.26
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.5%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.4%
1-1
8.9%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.4%
0-4
5.3%
1-4
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
2-1
3.2%
1-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).