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HHT: 10CSV

13 May 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.3%
Laval
23.5%
Draw
58.2%
Paris FC

Expected Goals (xG)

0.73

Laval

vs
1.56

Paris FC

Markets

BTTS40.1%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-1
10.6%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).