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10 Aug 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.9%
Chornomorets
24.8%
Draw
58.4%
Zorya Luhansk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Chornomorets

vs
1.67

Zorya Luhansk

Markets

BTTS44.2%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.0%
0-3
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).