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16 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.9%
Queens Park
31.8%
Draw
39.4%
Dunfermline

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Queens Park

vs
1.29

Dunfermline

Markets

BTTS49.9%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.1%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
8.0%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).