Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.0%
Girona
27.5%
Draw
25.6%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Girona
vs
0.99
Valencia
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).