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11 Apr 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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85.0%
Coventry
11.0%
Draw
3.9%
Sheffield Wednesday

Expected Goals (xG)

2.97

Coventry

vs
0.56

Sheffield Wednesday

Markets

BTTS41.0%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.547.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.9%
3-0
12.8%
4-0
9.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
5-0
5.7%
4-1
5.3%
1-1
5.3%
0-0
3.3%
5-1
3.2%
2-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).