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29 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.0%
Leyton Orient
21.7%
Draw
22.3%
Cambridge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Leyton Orient

vs
0.99

Cambridge

Markets

BTTS51.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
5.7%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).