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30 Sept 2023 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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80.6%
Galatasaray
15.4%
Draw
4.0%
Ankaragucu

Expected Goals (xG)

2.68

Galatasaray

vs
0.56

Ankaragucu

Markets

BTTS41.5%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.0%
3-0
12.5%
1-0
9.0%
4-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
1-1
7.4%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
2-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).