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01 Dec 2024 · 11:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.6%
Oleksandria
30.1%
Draw
21.3%
Chornomorets

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Oleksandria

vs
0.74

Chornomorets

Markets

BTTS37.7%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.7%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
10.8%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
4.6%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).