Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.4%
Salernitana
34.9%
Draw
32.8%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Salernitana
vs
0.93
Perugia
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.583.1%
Over 1.556.9%
Over 2.528.6%
Over 3.511.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.9%
1-1
14.8%
0-1
13.2%
1-0
13.1%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
0-3
2.1%
3-0
2.1%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).