Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.0%
Arka Gdynia
25.8%
Draw
46.3%
Jagiellonia Białystok
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Arka Gdynia
vs
1.70
Jagiellonia Białystok
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.7%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).