Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.6%
M'gladbach
24.6%
Draw
28.8%
Wolfsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
M'gladbach
vs
1.38
Wolfsburg
Markets
BTTS63.2%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
6.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.0%
0-0
5.0%
3-0
4.0%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).