⚽ FootballData
0 – 1
AHT: 00CSV

16 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
21.3%
Karlsruhe
22.6%
Draw
56.1%
Heidenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Karlsruhe

vs
2.10

Heidenheim

Markets

BTTS63.5%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.1%
Over 3.543.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.8%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.4%
0-0
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
1-4
3.6%
1-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).