Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.6%
Estoril
25.1%
Draw
21.3%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Estoril
vs
1.01
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
7.1%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).