Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Ried
28.3%
Draw
33.4%
WSG Tirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Ried
vs
1.23
WSG Tirol
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
9.5%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).