Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.5%
Hoffenheim
25.2%
Draw
20.2%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Hoffenheim
vs
0.98
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.5%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).