Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
Blackburn
31.7%
Draw
33.9%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Blackburn
vs
1.06
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.0%
1-0
11.8%
0-1
11.7%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
3-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).