Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Millwall
30.6%
Draw
38.0%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Millwall
vs
1.21
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).